Weekly Opinion Editorial
INFLATION IS A MUGGER!
by Steve Fair
Inflation occurs
when the purchasing power of the dollar declines. When the price of a basket of selected goods
and services rise due to increased costs to produce the good and service, inflation
happens. For years, economists have believed
increased US government economic policy(regulations/restrictions/intervention)
would keep inflation to a minimum. But
in the past six months, major grain. oilseed and edible oil prices are at historical
highs, crude oil prices are at six times the year ago level and freight rates are
up +25%. Food prices according to the
USDA have increased by 3-4% each month since March. Investors are nervous and Wall Street has
stalled. Consumers are seeing increased
prices at the shelf and at the pump. Inflation
has returned and it is the result of bad economic policy. Three observations:
First, some
inflation can be healthy for an economy if it is a by-product of a growing
economy. But it needs to be controlled
and temporary. The current inflation trend
is neither. Criticism of President Biden’s
economic policies comes from not only Republicans, but Democrats as well. Lawrence Summers, former Secretary of Treasury
in the Clinton administration and a former economic advisor to President Obama
says President Biden’s stimulus plan has been the driving force behind recent
inflation. Summers says Biden and his
policies are causing “inflationary pressure of a kind we have not seen in a
generation, with consequences for the value of the dollar and financial stability.”
Second,
President Biden’s economic policy is not free market driven. By continuing to send citizens stimulus
checks and unemployment payments, Biden has hurt the economy. Employers across America can’t get people to
work because they can stay home and make as much money not working. Promoting laziness, idleness and sloth is not
good economic policy. The cornerstone of
Biden’s economic policy is tax increases and more government spending, which he
believes will get inflation under control.
President Reagan said, “People who think a tax boost will cure inflation
are the same ones who believe another drink will cure a hangover.”
Third,
millennials have no reference point in regard to economic inflation. Before most of them were born, in the late 70s
and early 80s, inflation was out of control in the U.S. In 1975, the annual inflation rate was 10.1%. It was 9.6% in 1981. Home mortgage rates were over 10% APR. In 1980, President Jimmy Carter was defeated
by Ronald Reagan, primarily because of inflation and the economy. President
Reagan took a three-pronged approach to curbing inflation; (1) Reduced
government spending on domestic programs, (2) Reduced taxes, and (3) Reduced
the burden of regulations on businesses.
During Reagan’s two terms (8 years), the U.S. economy was turned around
and inflation brought under control, using supply side economic policy.
The real
issue with inflation is wages don’t increase as fast as consumer prices
increase. That hurts consumer confidence
and stalls the economy. President Reagan
said, “Inflation is as violent as a mugger, as frightening as an armed
robber and as deadly as a hit man.” Hopefully
the inflation rates of 40 years ago will not be seen again, but socialist
economic policy coupled with more government regulation could make that
possible.
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