Monday, July 2, 2018

8/28 RUNOFF VOTERS WILL BE MORE INFORMED!

Weekly Opinion/Editorial
RANKED VOTING!

by Steve Fair



     In last week’s Oklahoma primary election 891,654 voters showed up- 850,781 voted in the Party primaries.  452,194 voted Republican, 395,038 voted Democrat (Independents can vote in Democrat primary) and 3,549 voted Libertarian.  The turnout was over twice what it is for a normal mid-term primary and exceeded the 2016 presidential primary.  The reason was SQ #788, the marijuana bill, which passed 57%-43%.  Because most of the Republican statewide races had multiple candidates, only one race of the eight races was decided on Tuesday night.  Seven(7) statewide races will be on the August 28th runoff ballot, so expect your mailbox to stay full of political push cards for the next two months.  Three observations:

     First, the top two GOP statewide races feature OKC vs. Tulsa candidates.  With former OKC Mayor Mick Cornett and Tulsa businessman Kevin Stitt squaring off in runoff to be the GOP nominee for governor and former OKGOP Chairman Matt Pinnell(Tulsa) and Corporation Commissioner Dana Murphy for Lt. governor(OKC), the lines are drawn between the two metro areas.   The rivalry between the two largest cities in the state has always been intense in politics.  There are 170,000 registered Republicans in Tulsa county (51% of total voters).  There are 173,000 Rs in Oklahoma county (45%).  For years, the Tulsa area dominated GOP statewide primaries, but with the changing of Party affiliation, that advantage has been diminished.  These two races will be a clear get out the vote effort.  The candidate who does the best job of getting their supporters to the polls to vote will win. 

     Second, with so many runoffs, Oklahoma should consider ranked/ preferential voting or instant-runoff voting in races that have more than two candidates.  Instead of voting only for a single candidate, voters would rank the candidates in order of preference.  The ballots would be initially counted for each voter’s top choice, losing candidates would be eliminated, and ballots for losing candidates redistributed until one candidate is the top remaining choice of a majority of the voters. When the field is reduced to two, an "instant runoff" allows a comparison of the top two candidates head-to-head.  An ‘instant run-off’ election system would save taxpayers money by eliminating the need for a primary runoff.   Maine and Tennessee are both using versions of preferential voting. Australia uses it in all their elections where there are more than two candidates.

     Third, a large number of first time, one issue voters cast their ballot last Tuesday.  It’s great to see new people becoming engaged in their government, but a large number of the 891k plus voters were there to vote on #788 and were clueless about the races.  They just marked a name they were familiar with. That will not be case on August 28th.  The primary runoff will have much lower turnout and will have a more informed electorate. 
     This will be the first Republican statewide runoff since 2002, which featured Jeff Cloud and Dana Murphy in a fight for the Republican nomination for Corporation Commission.  Only 87,319 people voted in that race, which was won by Cloud.  With seven Republican races on the ballot, turnout will be good, but it won’t be half of what it was last Tuesday.

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