Weekly Opinion Editorial
PUT MEAT
ON THE BONE!
by Steve
Fair
The second presidential debate will be on
Sunday October 9th at Washington
University in St. Louis.
Martha Raddatz of ABC and Anderson Cooper of CNN will serve as
moderators. The debate wills start at
8pm and run for 90 minutes. It will be a
‘town hall’ format. Half of the
questions will come directly from so-called ‘uncommitted’ voters selected by Gallup. The other half will come from the two
moderators. On Tuesday night, the Vice
Presidential candidates squared off in their only debate, but few voters are
moved by who the VP is on a ticket. Both
Pence and Kaine are capable and have governing experience, but voters vote for
president, not vice president.
The latest polling results from Politico
show Trump trailing Clinton
in seven of the eleven swing states. He
leads in Iowa, North
Carolina, Ohio, and is tied in Nevada. The only real poll that matters is the one on
election day, but Trump’s team better jump start their ground game in the next
thirty days. He must win Florida and the latest poll shows him trailing Clinton by two points.
Rasmussen reports that 82% of voters now
say they are certain how they will vote and Clinton leads 49% to 46% among these
voters. As election day gets closer more
and more voters will move from undecided to the committed column. Trump is doing better at convincing
undecideds than Clinton,
but he must win at least 2/3 of the undecideds to make this a race. That is a challenge, but here are four things
he should do to win:
First, he must be more prepared for the
second debate. He can’t just show up and
deliver marketing tag lines. He has to
put ‘meat on the bone.’ He has to
convince the American people he not only understands what needs to be done, but
has a plan to get it done. Even those
who support Trump are frustrated with his broad brush policy approach. Debates don’t move the needle as much as
many people think, but they are important to the momentum of a campaign. Trump needs the momentum.
Second, he must bring up Clinton’s
untrustworthiness. Even within her own
party, Clinton
is perceived as being untrustworthy.
Never in our nation’s history have we had a candidate who went into the
White House with so much baggage as Clinton. The E-mail scandal, Benghazi,
the Clinton Foundation donors, and dozens more make Clinton unfit to hold any elective office. Is
Bill Clinton’s immorality fair game?
Hillary’s response to it certainly is and Trump will likely pull the
trigger on that on Sunday.
Third, Trump needs to remind voters the
next POTUS will appoint several members of the Supreme Court. Both Trump and Clinton have released short lists of who they
would consider on the court. Clinton’s list is all
liberals, Trump has more conservative thinkers.
The future of the SCOTUS is likely the most important factor in the
election.
Fourth, Trump must have boots on the
ground in the swing states. Spiking
voter turnout among Republicans can win the race. In every election, a candidate wins because
they got their voters to the polls.
Trump’s celebrity campaign style draws big crowds to convention halls
and stadiums, but that doesn’t necessarily translate to getting voters to the
polls. A get out to vote effort involves
door-to-door personal voter engagement getting infrequent GOP voters up off the
couch and to the polls. Increasing voter
turnout by 5% can mean the difference between winning and losing. For Trump, it is his only path to
victory. The RNC has deployment
teams(activist from other states going to swing states) who spend their own
time and money knocking doors and convincing their fellow Republicans to get to
the polls.
Trump has defied all convention wisdom
this campaign cycle. When pundits were
declaring him a ‘flash in the pan,’ he proved them wrong. When the media said he wouldn’t be
competitive in the general election, he has put states into play that
Republicans haven’t won in 30 years. If
all his ‘angry’ supporters show up and vote, he may very well turn the
electoral map on its head. We shall see
in 35 days.
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